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9 resultsfor “how do prediction markets work in elections”

Politics

Campaign staffers tell NPR they make 'thousands' betting on their own candidates

worked at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for 20 years as a trial lawyer focused on insider trading and market manipulation. The agency oversees and regulates prediction markets and allows election

NPR Topics: News1h ago
Politics

Why Labour's London squeeze exposes a fragmented modern British politics

predicts Hackney is one of the boroughs that will fall to the Greens on election night. "I feel like it's an unfair and unbalanced society at the moment," a woman tells

BBC NewsMay 1
Business

‘It’s quite distressing’: rate rise brings new pain for would-be homebuyers

market where demand has been boosted by the expansion of the government’s deposit guarantee scheme, which has allowed FHBs to buy with a deposit of as little as 5%. “That’s been

The Guardian WorldYesterday
Politics

Rachel Reeves considering rent freeze to limit Iran war fallout

elections, Keir Starmer looking vulnerable as prime minister and economists predicting a surge in inflation, ministers are looking for immediate ways to ease the cost of living for voters. George Bangham, head of social policy

The Guardian WorldApr 27
Politics

Trump’s US Fed nominee Warsh vows independence, says he’s no ‘sock puppet’

work advising for the Duquesne Family Office, the private investment firm of Stanley Druckenmiller. Warsh’s nearly 70-page financial disclosure also showed that his other holdings include investments in Elon Musk’s SpaceX

Al Jazeera EnglishApr 21
Politics

Prediction site Kalshi fines three US candidates who bet on own election races

election races Before he announced his Senate candidacy, a political hopeful in Virginia did something not so unusual in this day and age: he logged on to a prediction market exchange and wagered money that

The Guardian WorldApr 22
Business

UK jobs market was in a fragile state – even before Iran war threatened recovery

work, for whatever reason. Payrolled jobs, a separate measure of how many people are employed in the economy, continued to decline – with provisional data for March down 65,000 on the same month a year

The Guardian WorldApr 21
Politics

Labour MPs say ‘endless drama’ of leadership speculation must stop

predictions of an imminent challenge to [Keir Starmer](https://www.theguardian.com/politics/keir-starmer). Some backbenchers warned that repeated briefings about how and when the prime minister could be toppled were putting off voters, who similarly had disliked

The Guardian WorldMay 4
Politics

Could key climate talks mark ground zero in global push to ditch fossil fuels?

predicted the current shock would mark a permanent change for the global energy industry, leading consumer countries to lose trust in fossil fuels. “Their perception of risk and reliability will change,” he said. “Governments will

The Guardian WorldMay 1