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If Plaid win in Wales, that won't mean independence - at least not yet

polls suggest that two diametrically opposed parties - Plaid Cymru and Reform, who are pro and anti-independence respectively - are vying to lead the Welsh government for the first time. During this election, independence has certainly

Mapped: the elections that could deliver ‘unprecedented’ losses for Labour

Plaid Cymru seeking a coalition with both Labour and the Greens. Within five years, Labour could go from governing Wales to becoming a junior coalition partner in the Senedd. In Scotland, Labour has been

Welsh Labour faces ‘existential’ change as party braces for May election defeat

poll, although coalition maths make it highly unlikely Reform would be able to form a government. The possibility of Labour losing power after 27 years and the pro-independence Plaid entering government as a senior

Reform UK spending on Facebook ads surged before May elections

polling](https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/26/voters-contend-with-grotesque-leaflets-and-dodgy-data-in-english-local-elections-say-analysts) with Reform as the main challenger to the incumbent party, often Labour. “Don’t waste your vote on the Conservatives,” one reads. “Only Reform UK can stop Labour.” In Scotland