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Texas Democrat Talarico leads senator Cornyn and AG Paxton in Senate race poll

Talarico leads senator Cornyn and AG Paxton in Senate race poll Democrats’ hopes of winning control of the [US Senate](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/us-senate) in November’s [midterm elections](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/us-midterm-elections-2026) have been boosted

Trump backs Ken Paxton in crucial Texas Republican Senate run-off

Cornyn, 74, had the incumbent leading by 1 point. Meanwhile, a Lone Star Liberty PAC poll, backed by a pro-Paxton Super PAC, showed the attorney general leading by 11 points. More independent polls, like

Will the Texas primary run-off give Democrats a chance to flip the state?

James Talarico [File: Brenda Bazán/AP Photo] ## Why is this race different? In hypothetical matchups, Talarico is either tied with, within the margin of error of, or leading both Republican candidates. One poll from

Trump’s allies in danger of scraping false hope from Maga victory in Kentucky primary

lead Republicans 50%-39% on the generic congressional ballot. This suggests the Republican party is ever more out of whack with the country at large. [Chris Hayes](https://x.com/chrislhayes?lang=en), a political commentator and host

2026 Senate races to watch: From most likely to flip to Democratic long shots

James Talarico waves to the crowd before speaking Mar. 4 in Austin. Talarico raised $27m in the first quarter of 2026, leading a pack of Democrats who outraised Republicans in several key Senate matchups

Talarico needs Crockett’s Black voters. They aren’t all convinced.

lead up to the primary. In February, a PAC that supported Talarico [ran a TV ad](https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2019426087282045264) with the tagline, “If she wins, we lose.” Crockett claimed the ad darkened her skin