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Texas Democrat Talarico leads senator Cornyn and AG Paxton in Senate race poll

Talarico leads senator Cornyn and AG Paxton in Senate race poll Democrats’ hopes of winning control of the [US Senate](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/us-senate) in November’s [midterm elections](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/us-midterm-elections-2026) have been boosted

Trump backs Ken Paxton in crucial Texas Republican Senate run-off

Cornyn, 74, had the incumbent leading by 1 point. Meanwhile, a Lone Star Liberty PAC poll, backed by a pro-Paxton Super PAC, showed the attorney general leading by 11 points. More independent polls, like

Will the Texas primary run-off give Democrats a chance to flip the state?

James Talarico [File: Brenda Bazán/AP Photo] ## Why is this race different? In hypothetical matchups, Talarico is either tied with, within the margin of error of, or leading both Republican candidates. One poll from

Texas Democrats think this is finally the year they’ll flip the Senate

Cornyn (R-Texas), one of the party’s senior statesmen, and a potentially fatally flawed candidate in Paxton with [his significant personal baggage](https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/03/paxton-cornyn-texas-senate-maga-00808211). They think their nominee, state Rep. James Talarico

Trump-backed Ken Paxton ousts John Cornyn in heated Texas race after scandal-plagued campaign

James Talarico, a Democratic pastor and state legislator whose message of peace and populism has attracted much attention. If he wins, Talarico would become the first Democrat in more than 30 years to win statewide

Texas GOP voters vote in race that could shape future of the party -- and the Senate

leading Texas in lawsuits against Democrats and their policies in Washington eclipses Cornyn's long tenure in office. "That's more stuff in one week than John Cornyn in 42 years," Paxton told the Katy

Trump’s allies in danger of scraping false hope from Maga victory in Kentucky primary

lead Republicans 50%-39% on the generic congressional ballot. This suggests the Republican party is ever more out of whack with the country at large. [Chris Hayes](https://x.com/chrislhayes?lang=en), a political commentator and host

Ken Paxton’s ex-lawyer endorses rival James Talarico in Texas Senate race

James Talarico – and not his former client – in one of the biggest US Senate races. Talarico on Monday drew attention to his campaign winning the endorsement of Houston attorney Dan Cogdell, who was part

2026 Senate races to watch: From most likely to flip to Democratic long shots

James Talarico waves to the crowd before speaking Mar. 4 in Austin. Talarico raised $27m in the first quarter of 2026, leading a pack of Democrats who outraised Republicans in several key Senate matchups

Talarico needs Crockett’s Black voters. They aren’t all convinced.

lead up to the primary. In February, a PAC that supported Talarico [ran a TV ad](https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/2019426087282045264) with the tagline, “If she wins, we lose.” Crockett claimed the ad darkened her skin