Oil prices continue to fall on hopes of new US-Iran peace talks

Oil prices continued to fallon Tuesday as hopes of more peace talks between the US and Iran eased concerns about further disruptions to energy supplies.

The price of global benchmark Brent crude is down 3.8% so far in Tuesday trading to $95.54 a barrel, while US traded West Texas Intermediate is down 6.1% to $92.85.

The falls come after oil prices jumped above $100 a barrel on Monday,before falling back**,** following US President Donald Trump's order to blockade Iran's ports after negotiations failed between the two sides at the weekend.

Trump later said that Tehran had contacted Washington about a potential agreement.

Speaking to reporters outside the White House on Monday, he said: "I can tell you we've been called by the other side. They'd like to make a deal very badly."

Separately, the New York Times reported that Iran had proposed suspending uranium enrichment for up to five years, an offer rejected by the US which insisted on 20 years.

The report, which cited Iranian and US officials, also said Washington and Tehran had traded proposals for suspending Iran's nuclear activity during talks in Pakistan, but remained far from an agreement.

But it added that the discussions suggested there may still be a path to a peace deal, with a possible second round of face-to-face talks.

The BBC has contacted the White House for comment.

Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter, said the further falls on Tuesday were "based on glimmers of hope that both sides remain keen to make a lasting peace deal".

"News of a potential second round of talks has been helpful in soothing markets, alongside the suggestion that Iran will not test the US blockade, instead opting to pause shipments to avoid a military confrontation," she said.

Traders may have also been encouraged by signs that several sanctioned tankers "appeared to make it through the Strait of Hormuz earlier today but have since turned back," James added.

It could be that incorrect locations had been shown in tracking data, or indicate that US military pressure is being wielded beyond the Strait, she said.

Trump's comments on Monday may have been seen as a "sign of possible de-escalation", said Jiajia Yang, an associate professor at Australia's James Cook University.

Another reason for the cost of oil easing could be traders making a short-term correction after prices surged on Monday, he added.

Markets will be watching closely for whether Tehran decides to delay its nuclear plans, a move that would "meaningfully ease tensions," Yang said.

However, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) suggested that current oil prices do not reflect the severity of what is going on in the Middle East.

While prices have retreated from $100 a barrel, crude oil is still far more expensive than it was before the Iran war began on 28 February when it stood at about $73.

IEA executive director Fatih Birol said: "April may well be even worse than March, because during the month of March, we have already received cargoes which were loaded well before the crisis started... and during the month of April, nothing is being loaded.

"The longer the disruption is, the more severe the problem becomes."

In its latest monthly report, the IEA said global oil supplies had seen their "largest disruption in history" in March, falling by 10.1 million barrels per day (mb/d) to 97 mb/d.

Last month, all 32 members of the IEA agreed to release 400 million barrels of their oil stocksto ease supply constraints and Birol signalled that the agency would be prepared to act again.

"Four hundred million barrels is only 20% of our resource," he said. "We have still 80% in our pocket. We are assessing the decision. If and when we decide it is the time, we are ready to act and act immediately."

Oil traders are also weighing how the US blockade will affect global energy supplies, said Rahman Daiyan, an energy resources researcher at the University of New South Wales in Sydney.

Only a "modest" amount of the global oil supply comes directly from Iran, but prices will rise if the US blockade escalates the conflict and affects other shipments from the Gulf, Daiyan added.

Some companies expect higher oil prices to boost their business.

On Tuesday, oil giant BP said it expected its trading division to report "exceptional" results for the January to March period.

It marks a dramatic turnaround from the final three months of 2025, when BP said the contribution from oil trading was "weak".

Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday. The Nikkei 225 index in Japan ended the day up 2.4% while South Korea's Kospi exchange closed 2.7% higher.

Countries in Asia that are heavily reliant on energy from the Gulf have been hit hard by the fallout of the Iran war.

The Strait of Hormuz has become a key flashpoint of the conflict after Iran retaliated against US-Israeli strikes since 28 February by threatening to attack vessels that try to use it.

Energy prices have surged as nearly a fifth of global oil and gas shipments usually pass through the strait.

On Monday, US Department of Energy Secretary Chris Wright said he expected oil prices to peak in the coming weeks as the waterway remains effectively closed.

"We're going to see energy prices high - and maybe even rising - until we get meaningful ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz," Wright told the Semafor World Economy Forum in Washington.

"That'll probably hit the peak oil price at that time. That's probably sometime in the next few weeks."