TL;DR
Many butterfly species in the UK are declining due to climate change, despite some thriving in warmer conditions. The UK Butterfly Monitoring Scheme reports that 33 out of 59 native species are in decline.
Increasingly warm and sunny weather over the last half century – driven in part by climate change – has helped some British butterfly species to flourish, according to one of the world's biggest insect monitoring schemes.
But the overall picture is more troubling. Data collected over half a century shows many of the UK's most distinctive butterflies are in steep decline.
The findings come from the UK Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (UKBMS), which has gathered more than 44 million records from 782,000 volunteer surveys since 1976 – making it one of the largest and longest-running citizen science projects of its kind.
Of the 59 native species monitored, 33 have declined, 25 have improved and one mountain species has too little data to assess.
Butterfly species which are doing well include the Red admiral, some of which are now spending winter in the UK as the climate warms.
Comma butterflies, with their distinctively ragged wing edges, have recovered in numbers since the survey began.
Orange tip numbers are up more than 40% since 1976, and Black hairstreak - one of the UK's rarest butterflies - is recovering thanks to conservation work.
The Large Blue has also done well thanks to conservation efforts, after being declared extinct in 1979.
The survey results highlight a growing divide between adaptable species and specialists, according to the charity, Butterfly Conservation.
Butterflies able to thrive in a wide range of environments – including farmland, parks and gardens – are generally coping better and, in some cases, increasing in number.
Warmer conditions linked to climate change are helping drive this trend, the charity says, by boosting survival and extending the geographic range and breeding seasons for flexible species.
Prof Jane Hill, a butterfly expert at the University of York, describes the data collected by the scheme over the last five decades as "extraordinary" and says it represents a gold standard for wildlife surveys worldwide.
She explains that because butterflies are cold-blooded insects, they generally thrive in warmer conditions.
"Most British butterflies reach their northern range limit in the UK, so they have opportunities to expand further north into northern England and Scotland," she adds.
But butterflies whose lifecycles are tied to specific habitats, such as woodland clearings or chalk grasslands, are struggling.
Many are declining at alarming rates, as those environments come under pressure. They are failing to expand their ranges because of a lack of suitable new habitats to colonise.
Some of the losses have been dramatic. The white-letter hairstreak – whose caterpillars glow under ultraviolet light – has fallen by 80% since the scheme began.
The pearl-bordered fritillary, a striking orange-and-black butterfly whose caterpillars feed only on violets, has declined by 70%.