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120 resultsfor “what are prediction markets”

Politics

Could Iran’s escalating economic crisis weaken negotiating position with US?

prediction was a belief that the US naval blockade launched on 13 April would prevent Tehran’s tankers from reaching the strait of Hormuz, depriving the Iranian regime of at least $175m (£129m

The Guardian WorldMay 4
Business

British Airways owner issues profit warning over soaring jet fuel costs

markets, and is confident about fuel availability through the peak summer period. However, across the industry [2m airline seats have been cut from this month’s schedules](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/may/05/airline-seats-cut-jet-fuel-prices) as airlines redraw their operations

The Guardian WorldMay 8
Politics

Could key climate talks mark ground zero in global push to ditch fossil fuels?

predicted the current shock would mark a permanent change for the global energy industry, leading consumer countries to lose trust in fossil fuels. “Their perception of risk and reliability will change,” he said. “Governments will

The Guardian WorldMay 1
Business

Oil markets nearing ‘red zone’ as holiday season nears, warns IEA chief

market due to the disruption. He saw no prospect of oil production recovering fully for at least a year, including in the United Arab Emirates, and said that some countries heavily dependent on oil revenues

The Guardian World11h ago
Politics

What really holds China and Russia together

predict that in this century, humans may live up to 150 years old," Xi's interpreter was heard responding. It was a fitting conversation for two strongmen, who have described each other as best friends

BBC NewsMay 18
Business

‘It’s quite distressing’: rate rise brings new pain for would-be homebuyers

market where demand has been boosted by the expansion of the government’s deposit guarantee scheme, which has allowed FHBs to buy with a deposit of as little as 5%. “That’s been

The Guardian WorldMay 5
World

Iran war may cause food shortages in Africa, world’s largest fertiliser firm says

predicting actual food shortages in parts of Africa but said he was in London to draw attention of world leaders to the possibility of things spiralling before action was taken. “It is important to communicate

The Guardian WorldMay 1
Business

UK unemployment shows surprise fall to 4.9% as pay growth drops to lowest in five years

market in the coming months. The EY Item Club has forecast that unemployment [will hit 5.8% by the middle of 2027](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/20/250000-could-lose-job-2027-uk-recession-analysis-economy-iran-war), with almost 250,000 more people losing their jobs because

The Guardian WorldApr 21
Politics

How the Iran war is hitting the UK

market economies. It means fewer cars sold, fewer homes bought, fewer restaurant meals, fewer business investments and eventually fewer jobs. Because this crisis is about more than oil, demand destruction appears across the whole economy

Al Jazeera EnglishApr 29
Business

Spirit Airlines ceases operations after escalating financial struggles

market share was poised to fall even further to 1.8% in May, which would have made it the country's ninth-largest airline. But even with a small footprint, consumer advocates say Spirit

NPR Topics: NewsMay 2
Politics

What people in power think the impact of the Iran war will be

predictable costs of the US's decision to go to war. It was the Chancellor Rachel Reeves who was especially vocal on the "folly" and "mistake" of war "which is not ours". The meetings

BBC NewsApr 18
Politics

‘The FDA is a complete mess’: Trump makes fate of agency chief unclear as public trust plummits

predictability, especially because the drug development process is a multi-year process, said Peter Lurie, executive director of the Center for Science in the Public Interest and a former FDA associate commissioner. “Public trust

The Guardian WorldMay 9
Tech

Smart glasses are 'an invasion of privacy' - Meta's are selling better than ever

market, [estimated](https://counterpointresearch.com/en/insights/Global-Smart-Glasses-Shipments-Grew-139-Percent-YoY-in-H2-2025) to make up more than 80% of all AI or smart glasses sales, as the company was the first major tech player to launch such a product in recent years

BBC NewsMay 13
Politics

Uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz remains, as ceasefire nears its end

markets reeling. Trump has criticized European countries for rejecting or hesitating to get involved in the war with Iran. The war on Iran has had severe consequences for economies across the Mideast. A new report

NPR Topics: NewsApr 18
Politics

MPs urged to ignore fearmongering and pass Labor’s ‘long overdue’ negative gearing and CGT changes

market toward first home buyers [instead of property investors](https://www.theguardian.com/news/2026/may/13/australia-federal-budget-2026-tax-capital-gains-negative-gearing-housing-one-big-chart). Maiy Azize, of housing advocacy group Everybody’s Home, said there was “no excuse for landlords to hike rents because of these changes

The Guardian World12h ago
Business

Flights, food and fuel: What you need to know about the latest inflation figures

markets remains challenging. Many have already traded down to more affordable options as far as they can in spending habits, so retailers may find it harder to pass on higher costs on as price rises

BBC NewsApr 22
Politics

Rachel Reeves considering rent freeze to limit Iran war fallout

predicting a surge in inflation, ministers are looking for immediate ways to ease the cost of living for voters. George Bangham, head of social policy at the New Economics Foundation thinktank, said: “We have

The Guardian WorldApr 27
Politics

UK borrowing costs fall and pound rises as Starmer says he will remain as PM

predicted](https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/08/labour-local-elections-keir-starmer-cling-on). The yield – effectively the interest rate – had [jumped earlier this week](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/may/05/uk-borrowing-costs-bond-yields-gilts-rachel-reeves), amid fears that the prime minister could face a leadership challenge if the results from the local

The Guardian WorldMay 8
Business

Australia’s property investor borrowing rises at fastest rate in a decade - despite interest rate rises

predict the central bank will raise rates again on Tuesday, but the couple do not regret their decision. Their property has already risen in value. Rumoured reforms to capital gains tax in next week

The Guardian WorldMay 4
Conflicts

Leaders urge for restraint as 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire takes effect

markets reeling. "The unconditional and immediate reopening of the Strait is a global responsibility, and we need to act to get global energy and trade flowing freely again," Starmer said in a statement ahead

NPR Topics: NewsApr 17
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