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52 resultsfor “how do prediction markets work”

Politics

Campaign staffers tell NPR they make 'thousands' betting on their own candidates

prediction market bettors make anything better?](https://www.npr.org/2026/04/17/nx-s1-5789382/kalshi-polymarket-prediction-market-ceo-tarek-mansour) "Myself and others started placing bets before that poll came out," the staffer, who was working

NPR Topics: NewsMay 7
Politics

Prediction site Kalshi fines three US candidates who bet on own election races

predictions market previously. I was curious about how it worked. I set up an account

The Guardian WorldApr 22
Politics

Senate panel hears testimony on online sports betting, prediction markets

work together to identify, to investigate and to root out manipulation." Other lawmakers questioned the advertising techniques of prediction market

NPR Topics: News22h ago
Politics

The insider trading suspicions looming over Trump's presidency

market integrity", adding that it "proactively" works with regulators and law enforcement to do so. In March this year, both Polymarket and Kalshi outlined new rules to crack down on insider trading. Predictions

BBC NewsApr 19
Politics

US soldier involved in Maduro raid charged over alleged bets on capture

works,” the company wrote. The news came a day after three US congressional candidates were fined by a different prediction market

The Guardian WorldApr 24
Business

NPR went looking for Polymarket's Panama headquarters. It's elusive

prediction market live-streaming site that partners with Polymarket, according to publicly available corporate records. Court filings show the law office also did work

NPR Topics: NewsMay 5
Business

'Monitoring the situation': why young men are drawn to prediction markets

Prediction markets are increasingly being framed not simply as gambling, but as a form of intelligence, strategy, forecasting, or participation in internet culture itself," she argues. The platform homepages resemble the Bloomberg terminals used

BBC News2h ago
Business

Prediction market Kalshi to give $2m to problem gambling group as it fights ‘gambling’ label

prediction markets allow users to bet – or “trade” – on the outcome of almost anything, from elections to sports to geopolitical events, the industry has vehemently fought efforts by state officials to regulate its platforms like

The Guardian WorldMay 18
Politics

Federal budget 2026 summary – winners and losers

work to ensure Australia’s kilograms, kilometres and kilovolts remain accurate. Another group of boffins over at the Australian Space Agency will be given $21.7m, while the CSIRO gets a $387.4m boost. **Illegal

The Guardian WorldMay 12
Politics

Why Labour's London squeeze exposes a fragmented modern British politics

market in Hackney is a busy maze of open-air stalls, selling everything from spices to textiles to fresh fruit. Among its visitors earlier this month was the Green Party's leader, Zack Polanski

BBC NewsMay 1
Politics

US soldier charged after winning $400,000 betting on removal of Maduro

markets. He is accused of making bets of more than $33,000 while in possession of classified nonpublic information about Operation Absolute Resolve. In a statement posted on social media on Thursday, Polymarket said: "When

BBC NewsApr 24
World

As Iran crisis drags on, fears of global food crisis grow

works on biological and seasonal timelines, while fertiliser and shipping markets can reprice in days or weeks.” Aggregate price indices produced by bodies such as the UN also do not necessarily capture the hardship felt

Al Jazeera EnglishApr 21
Business

The hidden power keeping wages low

market brings the supply and demand for labor into a kind of perfect embrace by finding the exact "right" wage that will bring them together. This model has a powerful implication. If the government steps

NPR Topics: NewsApr 21
Business

British Airways owner issues profit warning over soaring jet fuel costs

markets, and is confident about fuel availability through the peak summer period. However, across the industry [2m airline seats have been cut from this month’s schedules](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/may/05/airline-seats-cut-jet-fuel-prices) as airlines redraw their operations

The Guardian WorldMay 8
Politics

‘I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation,’ says Trump amid Iran talks

predicted that,” he said. “Well, it didn’t happen.” A University of Michigan [survey from April](https://news.umich.edu/consumer-confidence-is-back-to-mid-2022-lows-with-wars-gas-and-durable-high-prices/) found consumer confidence has slid to levels last seen in 2022, when inflation soared

The Guardian WorldMay 13
Politics

Reeves says ‘if economy ain’t broke, don’t fix it’ - as fight to keep her job goes on

predictions for a slump in March, despite the fallout from the Iran war, why put things at risk with a roll of the dice in domestic politics? Responding to bumper [growth of 0.3% in March

The Guardian WorldMay 14
Politics

Uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz remains, as ceasefire nears its end

worked to limit the economic fallout from the conflict, which has sent energy markets reeling. Trump has criticized European countries for rejecting or hesitating to get involved in the war with Iran

NPR Topics: NewsApr 18
Politics

Could Iran’s escalating economic crisis weaken negotiating position with US?

prediction was a belief that the US naval blockade launched on 13 April would prevent Tehran’s tankers from reaching the strait of Hormuz, depriving the Iranian regime of at least $175m (£129m

The Guardian WorldMay 4
Business

‘It’s quite distressing’: rate rise brings new pain for would-be homebuyers

market where demand has been boosted by the expansion of the government’s deposit guarantee scheme, which has allowed FHBs to buy with a deposit of as little as 5%. “That’s been

The Guardian WorldMay 5
Health

The struggle to get hold of medication in England is set to get worse

works full time, and knows that if he doesn't take his correct medications then his body control and dyskinesia will be far less predictable, and less manageable. "Trying to manage medication for Parkinson

BBC NewsMay 1
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